Daily Forex Outlook

វិនិយោគិនរំពឹងថា ធនាគារកណ្តាលអាមេរិកនឹងកាត់បន្ថយអត្រាគោលរបស់ខ្លួនត្រឹម 0.25% ដល់កំរិតគោលដៅ 2%-2.25% នៅថ្ងៃនេះ។ ដូចគ្នានេះផងដែរ របាយការណ៍ការងារឯកជន ADP នឹងត្រូវបានចេញផ្សាយ (ធៀបនឹង +150,000 ការងារដែលរំពឹងទុក)។

ប្រាក់ផោនអង់គ្លេសបានធ្លាក់ចុះ 4 ថ្ងៃជាប់គ្នា ដែលបានធ្លាក់ចុះ 0.5% ស្មើនឹង 1.2158 ដែលជាកម្រិតទាបបំផុតចាប់តាំងពីខែមករាឆ្នាំ 2017។ នាយករដ្ឋមន្រ្តីអង់គ្លេសលោក Boris Johnson បានទទូចថា Irish border backstop ត្រូវតែកាត់ចោល ហើយវាអាស្រ័យលើសហគមន៍អ៊ឺរ៉ុប ដើម្បីសម្របសម្រួល ឬ រៀបចំសម្រាប់ការគ្មានកិច្ចព្រមព្រៀង Brexit។

ប្រាក់អឺរ៉ូបានកើនឡើង 0.1% ដល់ 1.1158។ ទិន្នន័យផ្លូវការបានបង្ហាញថា សន្ទស្សន៍ទំនុកចិត្តសេដ្ឋកិច្ចរបស់តំបន់ចាយប្រាក់អឺរ៉ូបានធ្លាក់ចុះដល់ 102.7 ក្នុងខែកក្កដា (ធៀបនឹង 102.6 រំពឹងទុក) ពី 103.3 ក្នុងខែមិថុនា។ នៅថ្ងៃនេះ កំណើនផលិតផលក្នុងស្រុកសរុបប្រចាំត្រីមាសទី 2 នឹងត្រូវបានគេរាយការណ៍ (ធៀបនឹង 1.0% រំពឹងទុក)។

USD / JPY ធ្លាក់ចុះ 0.2% ដល់ 108.57។ ធនាគារជប៉ុនបានរក្សាគោលនយោបាយរូបិយវត្ថុរបស់ខ្លួនមិនផ្លាស់ប្តូរ ដូចដែលបានរំពឹងទុក ខណៈពេលដែលបានទម្លាក់ការព្យាករ CPI ស្នូលឆ្នាំ 2019 ដល់ 1.0% ពី 1.1% កាលពីមុន និង ការប៉ាន់ស្មានកំណើនផលិតផលក្នុងស្រុកសរុប (GDP) ដល់ 0.7% ពី 0.8%។

ទន្ទឹមនឹងនេះដែរ AUD / USD បានធ្លាក់ចុះ 0.4% មកត្រឹម 0.6874 និង NZD / USD បានធ្លាក់ចុះ 0.2% មកត្រឹម 0.6617។ នៅព្រឹកនេះ ផលិតកម្ម PMI ផ្លូវការរបស់ចិនបានកើនឡើងដល់ 49.7 ក្នុងខែកក្កដា (ពី 49.6 រំពឹងទុក) ពី 49.4 ក្នុងខែមិថុនា ខណៈដែល PMI មិនមែនផលិតកម្មបានធ្លាក់ចុះដល់ 53.7 (ទល់ 54.0 រំពឹងទុក) ពី 54.2។

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USD/JPY Intraday: Target 108.30 downside. The pair, as shown on a 30-minute chart, remains under pressure while being capped by the descending 50-period moving average. And downward momentum is evidenced by the relative strength index, which is subdued below the neutrality level of 50. A drop across the repeatedly-tested support (first downside target) at 108.45 would trigger a further decline toward 108.30. Alternatively, a return to the key resistance at 108.70 would open a path toward 108.90 on the upside.

EUR/USD Intraday: Rebound continues. The pair continues a rebound from a low of 1.1112 seen on July 29. Support is provided by the ascending 20-period moving average, which stands above the 50-period one. Therefore, intraday bullishness persists, and the pair should proceed toward 1.1165 and 1.1180 on the upside. Only a break below the key support at 1.1145 would open a path toward 1.1130 on the downside.

AUD/USD Intraday: Under pressure. The pair broke below the support level at 0.6890, which becomes the key resistance now. Currently, the prices are capped by a declining 50-period moving average. The relative strength index is located at the selling zone between 30 and 50. To sum up, as long as 0.6890 is not surpassed, a further decline to 0.6860 and even to 0.6845 seems more likely to occur. Alternatively, breaking above 0.6890 would bring a technical rebound with 0.6910 and 0.6930 as targets.

NZD/USD intraday: Rebound expected. The pair posted a rebound and crossed above the 20-period moving average. In addition, the 20-period moving average is turning upward. The relative strength index is around its neutrality level at 50, showing the lack of downward momentum. To conclude, as long as 0.6598 holds on the downside, expect a bounce to 0.6640 and even to 0.6653 in extension. Alternatively, crossing below 0.6598 would trigger a drop to 0.6578.

GBP/USD Intraday: Under pressure. The pair is under pressure below the key resistance level at 1.2190 (the previous high). The declining 50-period moving average is acting as resistance. Even though a continuation of technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited. Therefore, below 1.2190, look for a return with targets at 1.2145 and 1.2120 (the low of July 30) in extension. Alternatively, crossing above 1.2190 would trigger another up leg with 1.2215 and 1.2245 as targets.

USD/CHF Intraday: Downside prevails. The pair retreated after touching the declining 50-period moving average. Currently, the prices returned below its 20-period moving average. The relative strength index is heading downward, suggesting the downside momentum for the prices. In this case, as long as 0.9925 is not surpassed, intraday bearish bias remains with downside targets at 0.9885 and 0.9870 in extension. Alternatively, breaking above 0.9925 would indicate a bullish reversal signal and call for a rise to 0.9945 and 0.9960 as targets.

USD/CAD Intraday: Downside prevails. The pair has broken below a bullish trend line drawn from July 19. Currently, the 20-period moving average has crossed below the 50-period one, while the relative strength index remains subdued in the 30s, signaling a bearish bias. As long as the key resistance at 1.3165 holds, the pair should target 1.3135 and 1.3115 on the downside. Alternatively, above 1.3165, expect a rebound to 1.3180.

EUR/JPY Intraday: Bullish bias remains. The pair is supported by a rising trend line drawn from July 29. In fact, support is also provided by the 20-period moving average, which stays above the 50-period one. The relative strength index stands above the neutrality level of 50, indicating a bullish bias. Unless the key support at 120.83 is violated, expect a further advance to 121.63 and 121.86 on the upside. Alternatively, a break below 120.83 would open a path to 120.43 on the downside.

EUR/GBP Intraday: Further advance. The pair is trading within a bullish ascending triangle. Currently, it remains at levels above both the rising 20-period and 50-period moving averages, while the relative strength index stays above the neutrality level of 50, signaling that the bullish bias persists. Above the key support at 0.9147, the pair should advance to 0.9217 and 0.9238. Alternatively, below 0.9147, expect a pull-back to 0.9112.

ប្រភព៖ Dowjones Newswires

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មិនទទួលខុសត្រូវ ៖ រាល់ទិន្នន័យ និង ពត៌មានដែលបានផ្តល់ជូននេះ គឺជាគោលបំណងតែមួយគត់ដើម្បីជាជំនួយដល់អ្នកវិនិយោគិនឲ្យមានភាពឯករាជ្យក្នុងការធ្វើជំនួញ ហើយនេះមិនមែនជាការផ្តល់យោបល់ទាំងស្រុងទៅលើការវិនិយោគនោះទេ។ Goldfx Investment Co Ltd នឹងមិនទទួលខុសត្រូវចំពោះការខាតបង់របស់អ្នកនោះទេ។

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