Daily Forex Outlook


ប្រាក់អឺរ៉ូបានធ្លាក់ចុះ 0.1% ត្រឹម 1.1142 ដោយបានប្រកាសពីការធ្លាក់ចុះរយៈពេលបីថ្ងៃ។ សន្ទស្សន៍ផលិតកម្ម PMI របស់ Markit នៅអឺរ៉ុប បានធ្លាក់ចុះដល់កម្រិតទាបបំផុតចាប់តាំងពីខែធ្នូឆ្នាំ 2012 ដែលមានចំនួន 46.4 នៅក្នុងខែកក្កដា ធៀបនឹងខែវិច្ឆិកាឆ្នាំ 2012 ដែលជាការធ្លាក់ចុះក្នុងរយៈពេល 6 ខែជាប់ៗគ្នា ចាប់ពី 47.6 នៅខែមិថុនា និង សេវាកម្ម PMI ធ្លាក់ចុះ 53.3។ ម្យ៉ាងវិញទៀត ធនាគារកណ្តាលអ៊ឺរ៉ុបត្រូវបានគេរំពឹងថា នឹងរក្សាអត្រាប្តូរប្រាក់មិនប្រែប្រួល ខណៈពេលដែលវិនិយោគិនមួយចំនួនកំពុងគិតស្មានថា ធនាគារកណ្តាលអឺរ៉ុបនឹងទទួលបានការជំរុញបន្ថែមទៀត។

ប្រាក់ផោនអង់គ្លេសបានកើនឡើង 0.4% ត្រឹម 1.2485 ខណៈពេលដែល USD / JPY បានប្រែប្រួលតិចតួចទេនៅតម្លៃ 108.18។ នាយករដ្ឋមន្ត្រីអង់គ្លេសលោក Boris Johnson បានប្រកាសគណៈរដ្ឋមន្រ្តីថ្មីមួយ ដោយជ្រើសរើសលោក Sajid Javid ធ្វើជាឧត្ដមមន្ដ្រីថ្មី។

រូបិយប័ណ្ណដែលជាប់ទាក់ទងនឹង Commodities បានបន្ថែមការធ្លាក់ចុះ ធៀបនឹងប្រាក់ដុល្លារអាមេរិករហូតដល់វគ្គជួញដូរទីបួន។ AUD / USD បានធ្លាក់ចុះ 0.4% ទៅ 0.6977 និង NZD / USD បានធ្លាក់ចុះ 0.1% ទៅ 0.6700 ខណៈពេលដែល USD / CAD បានកើនឡើង 0.1% ត្រឹម 1.3144។

USD/JPY Intraday: Bias remains bullish. The pair, as shown on a 30-minute chart, keeps rebounding from a key support at 108.00. Currently it has returned to levels above the ascending 20-period moving average, which has crossed above the 50-period one. And upward momentum is evidenced by the relative strength index, which is well directed in the 60s. In case the first upside target at 108.30 is surpassed, the pair should proceed toward 108.50 on the upside. Alternatively, below 108.00, look for a further decline toward 107.80.

EUR/USD Intraday: Watch 1.1105 downside. The pair has failed to post a sustainable rebound while trading at levels below both 20-period and 50-period moving averages. And the relative strength index remains subdued in the 40s, suggesting downward momentum for the pair. Unless the key resistance at 1.1155 is surpassed, the pair should pull back to 1.1125 and 1.1105 on the downside. Alternatively, above 1.1155, expect a further advance toward 1.1185 on the upside.

AUD/USD Intraday: Under pressure. The pair is under pressure below the declining 50-period moving average. The relative strength index is around its neutrality level at 50, showing the lack of upward momentum. The upside potential should be limited by key resistance level at 0.6990. Therefore, as long as this key level is not surpassed, we expect another down leg with targets at 0.6965 and 0.6945 in extension. Alternatively, crossing above 0.6990 would trigger a technical rebound with 0.7005 and 0.7020 as targets.

NZD/USD intraday: Downside prevails. The pair retreated and crossed below both 20-period and 50-period moving averages. In addition, the 20-period moving average is turning downward. The relative strength index is located at the selling zone between 30 and 50, indicating a negative outlook. Hence, as long as 0.6716 holds on the upside, look for a drop to 0.6673 and even to 0.6661 in extension. Alternatively, a break above 0.6716 would open a patch to 0.6737 on the upside.

GBP/USD Intraday: Bullish bias above 1.2465. Although the pair posted a pullback from 1.2520 (the high of July 24), it is still supported by a rising 50-period moving average. The relative strength index is around its neutrality level at 50, showing the lack of downward momentum. To conclude, as long as 1.2465 is not broken, expect a rebound with targets at 1.2500 and 1.2520 in extension. On the other hands, crossing below 1.2465 would bring a return with 1.2445 and 1.2425 as targets.

USD/CHF Intraday: Downside prevails. The pair retreated after touching the 50-period moving average. Currently, the prices are trading below both 20-period and 50-period moving average. The relative strength index is below its neutrality level at 50. To sum up, below 0.9860, look for a further decline to 0.9835 before targeting to 0.9825 in extension. Alternatively, only a break above 0.9860 would turn the outlook to positive and call for a new up leg with 0.9875 and 0.9890 as targets.

USD/CAD Intraday: Target 1.3165. The pair maintains a bullish bias above the key support at 1.3125. Currently, it is lingering around both the 20-period and 50-period moving average, while the relative strength index stays above the neutrality level of 50. As long as the key support at 1.3125 holds, the pair should target 1.3150 and 1.3165 on the upside. Alternatively, a break below 1.3125 would trigger a return to 1.3110 on the downside.

EUR/JPY Intraday: Upside prevails. The pair is trading within a bullish ascending triangle. In fact, the 20-period moving average has crossed above the 50-period one, and the relative strength index climbed above the neutrality level of 50, signaling a bullish bias. Unless the key support at 120.21 is violated, the pair should advance to 121.02 and 121.25. Alternatively, below 120.21, expect a decline to 119.82.

EUR/GBP Intraday: Rebound. The pair is supported by a rising trend line drawn from July 24. Currently, it has broken above the 20-period moving average, which is skewing upward. Also, the relative strength index shows upward momentum. Above the key support at 0.8899, expect a rebound to 0.8967 and 0.8987. Alternatively, a break below 0.8899 would open path to 0.8865 on the downside.

Source: Dowjones Newswires


Disclaimer : Any data and information provided is for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions and is not intended for trading purposes or advice. Goldfx Investment Co Ltd will not accept liability for any loss or damage

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