Daily Forex Outlook

មន្រ្តីធនាគារកណ្តាលបានផ្តល់យោបល់ថា ធនាគារកណ្តាលអាចកែតម្រូវគោលនយោបាយរូបិយវត្ថុរបស់ខ្លួនក្នុងពេលឆាប់ៗនេះ។ លោក John Williams ប្រធាន Fed នៅទីក្រុងញូវយ៉កបាននិយាយថា ធនាគារកណ្តាលគួរតែចាត់វិធានការឱ្យបានឆាប់រហ័សដើម្បីកាត់បន្ថយអត្រាការប្រាក់នៅតាមសញ្ញាដំបូងនៃភាពតានតឹងផ្នែកសេដ្ឋកិច្ច ខណៈពេលដែលអនុប្រធានធនាគារកណ្តាលលោក Richard Clarida បាននិយាយថា “អ្នកមិនចាំបាច់រង់ចាំរហូតដល់រឿងរ៉ាវអាក្រក់ខ្លាំងពេកដើម្បីកាត់បន្ថយអត្រាការប្រាក់នោះទេ”។

ប្រាក់អឺរ៉ូបានកើនឡើង 0.3% ត្រឹម 1.1262។

ប្រាក់ផោនអង់គ្លេសបានងើបឡើងវិញ 0.9% ដល់ 1.2542។ សភាអង់គ្លេសបានអនុម័តវិធានការ ដើម្បីទប់ស្កាត់នាយករដ្ឋមន្ត្រីបន្ទាប់ពីការបិទសភា ដើម្បីបង្ខំតាមរយៈការគ្មានកិច្ចព្រមព្រៀង Brexit។ ម្យ៉ាងវិញទៀតទិន្នន័យផ្លូវការបានបង្ហាញថា ការលក់រាយរបស់អង់គ្លេសបានកើនឡើង 3.8% ក្នុងខែមិថុនា ធៀបនឹង 2.6% រំពឹងទុក និង 2.2% ក្នុងខែឧសភា។

USD / JPY បានធ្លាក់ចុះ 0.5% ត្រឹម 107.40។ នៅព្រឹកថ្ងៃសុក្រនេះ ទិន្នន័យរបស់រដ្ឋាភិបាលបានបង្ហាញថា តួលេខ CPI របស់ប្រទេសជប៉ុនបានកើនឡើង 0.7% នៅក្នុងខែមិថុនា (+ 0.7% ដែលបានរំពឹងទុក និង នៅក្នុងខែឧសភា)។

រូបិយប័ណ្ណដែលភ្ជាប់ Commodities បានកើនឡើងខ្ពស់ ធៀបនឹងលុយដុល្លារ។ AUD / USD បានកើនឡើង 0.8% ត្រឹម 0.7067 និង NZD / USD បានកើនឡើង 0.7% ត្រឹម 0.6776។

ទន្ទឹមនឹងនេះដែរ USD / CAD បានធ្លាក់ចុះ 0.1% ស្មើនឹង 1.3036 ខណៈការធ្លាក់ចុះនៃតម្លៃប្រេង បានកំណត់ភាពរឹងមាំរបស់ប្រាក់ដុល្លារកាណាដា។ នាពេលបច្ចុប្បន្ននេះ ការលក់រាយនៅកាណាដាសម្រាប់ខែឧសភានឹងត្រូវបានចេញផ្សាយ (0.3% រំពឹងទុកប្រចាំខែ)។

USD/JPY Intraday: Key resistance at 107.65. The pair, as shown on a 30-minute chart, is off a low of 107.18 seen overnight, but remains capped by the descending 20-period moving average, which stays below the 50-period one. A bearish pattern of lower highs is still intact. Unless the key resistance at 107.65 is surpassed, the pair should return to 107.20 before sinking further toward 107.00. Alternatively, above 107.65, look for an advance toward 107.85 on the upside.

EUR/USD Intraday: Choppy. The pair marked a high of 1.1282 overnight before reversing course to the downside. A sustainable rebound is not yet in sight. In case the immediate support (first downside target) at 1.1240 is breached, a further decline toward 1.1225 is expected. Alternatively, a break above the key resistance at 1.1280 would open a path toward 1.1300 on the upside.

AUD/USD Intraday: Further advance. Although the pair posted a pullback, a support base at 0.7050 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilization. The rising 20-period moving average is acting as a support now. The relative strength index stays above its neutrality level at 50, suggesting the lack of downward momentum for the prices. To conclude, as long as 0.7050 is not broken, we anticipate a further upside with targets at 0.7075 and 0.7090 in extension. On the other hand, crossing below 0.7050 would bring a retracement with 0.7035 and 0.7025 as targets.

NZD/USD intraday: Further upside. Although the pair posted a pullback, it is still supported by both rising 20-period and 50-period moving averages. The relative strength index has landed on its neutrality level at 50 and is reversing up. Hence, as long as 0.6756 is not broken, intraday bullish bias remains with up targets at 0.6800 and 0.6813 in extension. Alternatively, crossing below 0.6756 would trigger a return to 0.6735 as a target.

GBP/USD Intraday: Upside prevails. The pair has recorded a series of higher tops and higher bottoms since July 17, confirming a bullish outlook. The upward momentum is further reinforced by both rising 20-period and 50-period moving averages. Therefore, as long as 1.2520 holds on the downside, a new challenge to 1.2560 and even to 1.2575 seems more likely to occur. Alternatively, crossing below 1.2520 would turn the outlook to negative and call for a return with 1.2495 and 1.2460 as targets.

USD/CHF Intraday: Key resistance at 0.9850. Despite the recent rebound from 0.9805, the pair is still capped by both falling 20-period and 50-period moving averages. The relative strength index is locating at the selling zone between 30 and 50, confirming a bearish outlook. Therefore, as long as 0.9850 holds on the upside, expect a return to 0.9805 before targeting to 0.9780 in extension. Alternatively, a break above 0.9850 would open a path to 0.9870 on the upside.

USD/CAD Intraday: Under pressure. The pair has broken below a rising trend line drawn from July 16. Currently, the 20-period moving average has crossed below the 50-period one, while the relative strength index has dropped to the 30s, signaling a bearish bias. As long as the key resistance at 1.3055 holds, the pair should proceed to 1.3020 and 1.3000 on the downside. Alternatively, a break above 1.3055 would trigger a rebound to 1.3080.

EUR/JPY Intraday: Downside prevails. The pair remains trading within a bearish channel drawn from July 15. In fact, it is capped by both the descending 20-period and 50-period moving averages, and the relative strength index stays below the neutrality level of 50, indicating a bearish bias. Below the key resistance at 121.22, expect a further decline to 120.41 and 120.18. Alternatively, a break above 121.22 would open a path to 121.61 on the upside.

EUR/GBP Intraday: Rebound. The pair has stabilized after reaching the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement support level of the rally in July. Currently, a bullish divergence is shown in the relative strength index, signaling a bullish rebound bias. Unless the key support at 0.8951 is violated, the pair should rebound to 0.9020 and 0.9040 on the upside. Alternatively, below 0.8951, expect a decline to 0.8917.

Source: Dowjones Newswires


Disclaimer : Any data and information provided is for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions and is not intended for trading purposes or advice. Goldfx Investment Co Ltd will not accept liability for any loss or damage

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